Bear Market Probability Index

Summary Model Data
Date Percentage
02-19590.14653795166984
03-19590.15089771699865
04-19590.13936368233413
05-19590.16880791975342
06-19590.17113586239066
07-19590.17158283827544
08-19590.17582214176822
09-19590.20220098382972
10-19590.20389098753155
11-19590.19191381603966
12-19590.18998822687111
01-19600.2043473289123
02-19600.21196608804789
03-19600.21700416377495
04-19600.20468330402177
05-19600.17472442954661
06-19600.18403740692562
07-19600.16976287208266
08-19600.1421279758114
09-19600.13062383777828
10-19600.12755093090234
11-19600.10717959907638
12-19600.08520449277026
01-19610.13914849660027
02-19610.11156015478384
03-19610.087671811809412
04-19610.11039393820326
05-19610.095607417910607
06-19610.073666125715025
07-19610.10363733511698
08-19610.099862537878556
09-19610.11845535199386
10-19610.13688834185622
11-19610.11793930867379
12-19610.1091843456153
01-19620.12045621899406
02-19620.15270613374329
03-19620.15237359269717
04-19620.12520625506825
05-19620.1424269885533
06-19620.14007666536211
07-19620.15571254634161
08-19620.15364254555267
09-19620.15619334285279
10-19620.15960020705781
11-19620.16221779291703
12-19620.16319403300958
01-19630.16405019623523
02-19630.1619853727555
03-19630.15414334047552
04-19630.16347546307819
05-19630.15942130066668
06-19630.15995610048563
07-19630.19989756955876
08-19630.19270205836856
09-19630.19221331820063
10-19630.18974813220134
11-19630.18073357208025
12-19630.18620853499388
01-19640.18760459514135
02-19640.17887667747716
03-19640.18137797442056
04-19640.18579473991341
05-19640.18787481524547
06-19640.18001105702561
07-19640.18648171129928
08-19640.18174587751102
09-19640.175336431489
10-19640.19100161001417
11-19640.21914979447385
12-19640.22325934518732
01-19650.22957665264314
02-19650.23594340959136
03-19650.24247513443705
04-19650.24250420063813
05-19650.23594340959136
06-19650.24247513443705
07-19650.24042994059377
08-19650.22494897004816
09-19650.22632984753712
10-19650.21927335475417
11-19650.22509226905349
12-19650.23556521158687
01-19660.23268552208761
02-19660.23378010199842
03-19660.24688551346932
04-19660.26775763609928
05-19660.29491523092083
06-19660.28418534869549
07-19660.286185955028
08-19660.27693459428758
09-19660.31199138997552
10-19660.31965725846698
11-19660.31929922162055
12-19660.2970782827978
01-19670.29783651417507
02-19670.25396643274309
03-19670.20364143132136
04-19670.17873682117033
05-19670.17244909800812
06-19670.15524681352265
07-19670.15639449990485
08-19670.16041148554635
09-19670.14815771423849
10-19670.15084830156627
11-19670.17194624497751
12-19670.18527625662274
01-19680.19062073269429
02-19680.20266014001533
03-19680.26577775295845
04-19680.27608357067685
05-19680.28718985640329
06-19680.30643203139469
07-19680.31734624758354
08-19680.28575308859033
09-19680.28604851258897
10-19680.26566239211692
11-19680.25423384026519
12-19680.27724412851217
01-19690.29093317032177
02-19690.29660221802648
03-19690.37668396723934
04-19690.52130918291687
05-19690.50481131463731
06-19690.43941246548687
07-19690.52311828032038
08-19690.43664315285285
09-19690.42812135922564
10-19690.40568342140292
11-19690.35654076438081
12-19690.3431245673562
01-19700.40633472452268
02-19700.30825476011313
03-19700.30734522588456
04-19700.25692860744802
05-19700.2404188264332
06-19700.23908059115588
07-19700.20190975400275
08-19700.1920585904623
09-19700.19016532603744
10-19700.18083744622046
11-19700.16449968500348
12-19700.13712938897859
01-19710.12500060486233
02-19710.13420706092391
03-19710.14915138501127
04-19710.15253841324803
05-19710.16047974275268
06-19710.17125067107703
07-19710.18986290434091
08-19710.21211875188542
09-19710.20155836854484
10-19710.18990176711191
11-19710.14561650177885
12-19710.12077715935029
01-19720.11174530455679
02-19720.12974476428436
03-19720.13955936025364
04-19720.14521780244411
05-19720.15399914436836
06-19720.15808942244193
07-19720.16632982832527
08-19720.15775970642307
09-19720.16779156312986
10-19720.17656981969672
11-19720.18742899473958
12-19720.21850420098732
01-19730.25063445363307
02-19730.28465787081051
03-19730.29071545701934
04-19730.33768581089679
05-19730.39868287090711
06-19730.61180623546496
07-19730.56887909500199
08-19730.68399573147504
09-19730.62939835461043
10-19730.64800839627641
11-19730.63172294291972
12-19730.52984125170251
01-19740.44576871191976
02-19740.45261415580566
03-19740.5487961148316
04-19740.65004786468501
05-19740.76294203530694
06-19740.86410301508098
07-19740.65203856347958
08-19740.56005756217207
09-19740.43289869923021
10-19740.39870890559391
11-19740.34000241557484
12-19740.23192128354475
01-19750.18965065011058
02-19750.15043071521762
03-19750.13798272717307
04-19750.13346881956851
05-19750.14765906723254
06-19750.16156512439522
07-19750.15427295474633
08-19750.15683452083862
09-19750.14998083358772
10-19750.13365195869726
11-19750.13400633799033
12-19750.12935648077442
01-19760.12573308816866
02-19760.12868827960197
03-19760.13120185669159
04-19760.13858923345737
05-19760.14537672665739
06-19760.1406468040294
07-19760.14129629851652
08-19760.14398939969103
09-19760.14047717518595
10-19760.14085406492694
11-19760.14032988279031
12-19760.1316084711694
01-19770.13025423061317
02-19770.12924448920088
03-19770.13214634436111
04-19770.15055534698115
05-19770.15688234909926
06-19770.15661489181856
07-19770.17386259600903
08-19770.18689422953453
09-19770.19539937845671
10-19770.19483919803961
11-19770.19274336981336
12-19770.18870830383161
01-19780.18963279383156
02-19780.18970119084517
03-19780.19000939255277
04-19780.2032900252059
05-19780.20989248752873
06-19780.21212937606152
07-19780.23431018022689
08-19780.25681443201412
09-19780.27402851990631
10-19780.31445132151143
11-19780.31775452169209
12-19780.31369503527755
01-19790.31302555642321
02-19790.313552505694
03-19790.30398011472397
04-19790.31395959754821
05-19790.34453987205138
06-19790.35466980770153
07-19790.38442463126272
08-19790.39459845491523
09-19790.4882572763686
10-19790.40417739562619
11-19790.47858269046885
12-19790.43805769522452
01-19800.33382227465565
02-19800.49878018206154
03-19800.70234811862763
04-19800.29706837184619
05-19800.23991711323952
06-19800.20311320456288
07-19800.1973849790607
08-19800.22914939032956
09-19800.30386122401551
10-19800.41393975422284
11-19800.62681945679007
12-19800.68088387026985
01-19810.38162995368568
02-19810.3222444786811
03-19810.34071193817833
04-19810.46714412387747
05-19810.56788076667291
06-19810.48499475963666
07-19810.37076447798294
08-19810.27342485924575
09-19810.25278214043647
10-19810.25212143094944
11-19810.21119303482771
12-19810.21300298211684
01-19820.26731689750942
02-19820.28606145072475
03-19820.29623747838081
04-19820.28705090215169
05-19820.2499318479988
06-19820.21155608102182
07-19820.16691439963118
08-19820.18654131048462
09-19820.20660689624747
10-19820.1997239697689
11-19820.19134157453009
12-19820.1845913299316
01-19830.17276878634581
02-19830.18617778716493
03-19830.19027693094256
04-19830.18513211074901
05-19830.18384830113589
06-19830.18240030069835
07-19830.1769002099953
08-19830.17833867496696
09-19830.18176665140665
10-19830.17439647782516
11-19830.17488674449296
12-19830.18099800001022
01-19840.17794807117216
02-19840.17613329240932
03-19840.17951356658407
04-19840.16531896009489
05-19840.1798138513824
06-19840.18830863193926
07-19840.21667662212064
08-19840.21157492513442
09-19840.18178530936367
10-19840.17961676754023
11-19840.15365682439122
12-19840.15503930797234
01-19850.15635326306895
02-19850.15223405359109
03-19850.15225946751121
04-19850.15526504923243
05-19850.15709422040467
06-19850.16375485458069
07-19850.16388959530602
08-19850.16358823718228
09-19850.16855296188256
10-19850.18231068307072
11-19850.20781367846639
12-19850.20494929184373
01-19860.21193345523744
02-19860.2367701819888
03-19860.23499963550273
04-19860.20600150855914
05-19860.20550509924146
06-19860.21000586969643
07-19860.19545708121827
08-19860.17175068460949
09-19860.17073495264834
10-19860.18571553171111
11-19860.24157111332815
12-19860.21385108710678
01-19870.18859274200915
02-19870.19005133873465
03-19870.1729016706825
04-19870.17331977033584
05-19870.17510571165528
06-19870.16807188277628
07-19870.16492827434208
08-19870.1643902676582
09-19870.1641834210575
10-19870.16105982042671
11-19870.1604772884223
12-19870.17086724250792
01-19880.17519269944881
02-19880.1703600568006
03-19880.17088905807943
04-19880.16846260260375
05-19880.18878546941205
06-19880.19359267893141
07-19880.19710561223841
08-19880.21541564794211
09-19880.22861682888336
10-19880.22374282200014
11-19880.23683442108601
12-19880.25668397411604
01-19890.26549102034586
02-19890.28229972903061
03-19890.29322941146217
04-19890.31407952858789
05-19890.34193265993658
06-19890.34269868247698
07-19890.31486484807439
08-19890.31050915993418
09-19890.31188710954167
10-19890.30161913582279
11-19890.29661856463398
12-19890.25625512903995
01-19900.2420251239432
02-19900.23789841750319
03-19900.2270992975321
04-19900.22454416190873
05-19900.2442503896776
06-19900.23712555911787
07-19900.22255899717362
08-19900.21970706177506
09-19900.22294320698308
10-19900.22329453712175
11-19900.21243873520981
12-19900.19313453522828
01-19910.17350731683852
02-19910.16092835321096
03-19910.15540653263569
04-19910.1503101029895
05-19910.1493416395422
06-19910.14705023697619
07-19910.15036909595181
08-19910.14930433163647
09-19910.144039403144
10-19910.13360657768176
11-19910.12840457810467
12-19910.1178157020532
01-19920.11397141524796
02-19920.1093435515829
03-19920.1042508653932
04-19920.1074057179541
05-19920.10757990259929
06-19920.10031895779222
07-19920.10460830018969
08-19920.10474488286166
09-19920.099543634710973
10-19920.096225570090437
11-19920.093328132241498
12-19920.097468501931163
01-19930.10178698950576
02-19930.10678682691252
03-19930.10376656760584
04-19930.10391521285394
05-19930.10621083288772
06-19930.10913387616108
07-19930.11035019966101
08-19930.11844788741215
09-19930.1154517778249
10-19930.10936512230424
11-19930.10672061287881
12-19930.10980673938524
01-19940.1123462759915
02-19940.10714582241592
03-19940.10633118137595
04-19940.11498126748084
05-19940.12287778859433
06-19940.11984352939532
07-19940.12681023940948
08-19940.13042195435325
09-19940.12629645542368
10-19940.13739135374573
11-19940.14553472852752
12-19940.14887944149679
01-19950.17234674207891
02-19950.18484035513099
03-19950.19414820120406
04-19950.21315901665597
05-19950.24183962667188
06-19950.22357570990769
07-19950.20444396316511
08-19950.22527269319961
09-19950.2332496481116
10-19950.24447805892779
11-19950.24573444226758
12-19950.24732082067622
01-19960.20993456964447
02-19960.19053818105893
03-19960.1753152354929
04-19960.16769129340612
05-19960.16327066855161
06-19960.17032447733388
07-19960.17036117246117
08-19960.1672482417309
09-19960.17551029446009
10-19960.1939707304747
11-19960.18799850925187
12-19960.17404552632616
01-19970.17744033253748
02-19970.17655285482311
03-19970.17463161556862
04-19970.1811575734433
05-19970.19406182243368
06-19970.20561394428472
07-19970.20249756091496
08-19970.20742911836287
09-19970.21544818503673
10-19970.2266959360879
11-19970.23013868800023
12-19970.25683786832455
01-19980.24979553179848
02-19980.24148310014449
03-19980.23899968643465
04-19980.24148310014449
05-19980.26049234645898
06-19980.26238763775001
07-19980.27524869548011
08-19980.33834486103336
09-19980.32148040459748
10-19980.25505047596846
11-19980.2582540684092
12-19980.24582767286067
01-19990.232515451666
02-19990.21858308746829
03-19990.21666160041065
04-19990.19366048237626
05-19990.17690949979303
06-19990.19593396258793
07-19990.1929161013127
08-19990.20341259026288
09-19990.1920276224805
10-19990.21008906640295
11-19990.18949697930469
12-19990.18070570173562
01-20000.20229516144133
02-20000.22485128299451
03-20000.25753371608384
04-20000.24237842749138
05-20000.2924303522134
06-20000.29846152739145
07-20000.31881571082967
08-20000.32457672369001
09-20000.33094902304222
10-20000.33350740286559
11-20000.39179384871226
12-20000.34724465646488
01-20010.29584933682959
02-20010.3013175377037
03-20010.22457086060561
04-20010.16879874765019
05-20010.16014253391339
06-20010.1511692094527
07-20010.15522207089396
08-20010.13378907318253
09-20010.11243279252787
10-20010.096174917433846
11-20010.082255498599953
12-20010.080166382561446
01-20020.081789516454425
02-20020.077898602657952
03-20020.079095431553927
04-20020.079568684793955
05-20020.081875898681908
06-20020.084382856407822
07-20020.089821979463813
08-20020.096609308545203
09-20020.095337091291507
10-20020.078364964183445
11-20020.075004122021816
12-20020.074783771563616
01-20030.077234897398956
02-20030.077961368329693
03-20030.076525007133261
04-20030.08157938660949
05-20030.0835469061557
06-20030.067132995834859
07-20030.063814546101825
08-20030.064573951710884
09-20030.064409144920192
10-20030.063979081457036
11-20030.063521461160541
12-20030.065234640550389
01-20040.066212907626971
02-20040.068212604070625
03-20040.063578068092745
04-20040.060850091698969
05-20040.061747379757405
06-20040.070979777656087
07-20040.078836711558336
08-20040.087021510654311
09-20040.093010887414254
10-20040.097957525672399
11-20040.10630997509931
12-20040.11159260462118
01-20050.1230683741278
02-20050.12001920934626
03-20050.13238603711456
04-20050.15255677252959
05-20050.16249008314553
06-20050.16844007365263
07-20050.18180215899624
08-20050.19596114062452
09-20050.19076697862889
10-20050.20314447755014
11-20050.22320013858957
12-20050.24097521968887
01-20060.24656971274328
02-20060.24184442578283
03-20060.23607944881557
04-20060.23919286396943
05-20060.24374346665978
06-20060.27003404756361
07-20060.29547515816159
08-20060.31718713897597
09-20060.31574049533389
10-20060.33558095134911
11-20060.34071193817833
12-20060.31147545952226
01-20070.31849608845057
02-20070.3436233206468
03-20070.32160393823692
04-20070.31288479376847
05-20070.27000378082029
06-20070.28210760913387
07-20070.29497394667504
08-20070.30546524120468
09-20070.28143576537172
10-20070.29900520100414
11-20070.27249547985157
12-20070.28291769065472
01-20080.17370187156476
02-20080.15778175424969
03-20080.12727216468254
04-20080.10625285453463
05-20080.10241779207275
06-20080.10469173548824
07-20080.10691965735532
08-20080.10287237939958
09-20080.067254672603529
10-20080.044341977224584
11-20080.036236840575441
12-20080.034974193922045
01-20090.038222717348646
02-20090.035800808075842
03-20090.033355342993259
04-20090.034042075683601
05-20090.034380173044647
06-20090.032122825129846
07-20090.032048278079971
08-20090.031958765782024
09-20090.030210528916098
10-20090.030189467307718
11-20090.029810830258424
12-20090.02900833004734
01-20100.030176565581903
02-20100.031715564088399
03-20100.033502888901834
04-20100.034772679198276
05-20100.034341065307521
06-20100.035027549925242
07-20100.037043325260498
08-20100.037293663468243
09-20100.037876642464918
10-20100.036754105149215
11-20100.034042075683601
12-20100.033149953808165
01-20110.032072994493452
02-20110.031348355564766
03-20110.028887693341734
04-20110.028782981905539
05-20110.029112563189899
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