Bear Market Probability Index

Summary Model Data
Date Percentage
02-19590.14904670610359
03-19590.15421740547413
04-19590.14050875039834
05-19590.17528095975277
06-19590.17799581732381
07-19590.17851645661296
08-19590.18344434749963
09-19590.21370233996196
10-19590.21561769917794
11-19590.20198433795672
12-19590.19977944023098
01-19600.21613443040237
02-19600.22473285349837
03-19600.23038975906402
04-19600.21651474173654
05-19600.18217008420126
06-19600.1929421094772
07-19600.17639529051447
08-19600.1438022692074
09-19600.13007531304601
10-19600.12640443720316
11-19600.1022759710406
12-19600.077954189667863
01-19610.14025219591998
02-19610.10740423801022
03-19610.080512153520749
04-19610.10603391173889
05-19610.089085319368052
06-19610.066833759619809
07-19610.098173847480348
08-19610.09385959880388
09-19610.11556144124759
10-19610.13755623998653
11-19610.11494836576674
12-19610.10461628939878
01-19620.11794138701088
02-19620.15635764711549
03-19620.1559642976512
04-19620.12360473491994
05-19620.14415826446036
06-19620.14135863405482
07-19620.15990940197795
08-19620.15746477531776
09-19620.16047665953086
10-19620.16449004352386
11-19620.16756615845131
12-19620.16871171029523
01-19630.16971559223609
02-19630.16729329223927
03-19630.15805655396452
04-19630.16904177647248
05-19630.1642795579193
06-19630.16490866600403
07-19630.21108741168227
08-19630.20288585954151
09-19630.20232695402317
10-19630.1995042620969
11-19630.18913072712701
12-19630.19544078403465
01-19640.19704496274648
02-19640.18698372061914
03-19640.18987499110199
04-19640.19496492711251
05-19640.19735524097782
06-19640.18829574536746
07-19640.19575483781297
08-19640.19029971888818
09-19640.18288066870827
10-19640.20094027276776
11-19640.23279209947007
12-19640.23738214049259
01-19650.24441002061434
02-19650.25145953197872
03-19650.25865806044532
04-19650.25869001954454
05-19650.25145953197872
06-19650.25865806044532
07-19650.25640767153505
08-19650.23926511055971
09-19650.24080220563243
10-19650.23293031999664
11-19650.23942469580466
12-19650.25104169268682
01-19660.24785639326506
02-19660.24906792517917
03-19660.26350000674731
04-19660.28622169593314
05-19660.3153514748929
06-19660.30389730587282
07-19660.30603822539841
08-19660.29611714538
09-19660.33344311266503
10-19660.34151317571213
11-19660.34113694592847
12-19660.31765227748933
01-19670.31845815472534
02-19670.27124333917383
03-19670.21533503516603
04-19670.18682187226143
05-19670.17952490377644
06-19670.15935971669988
07-19670.16071392774214
08-19670.16544413993432
09-19670.15096949088141
10-19670.15415888411288
11-19670.17893960521254
12-19670.19436843808715
01-19680.20050409630088
02-19680.21422298982872
03-19680.28407947019083
04-19680.29520180188852
05-19680.30711161373863
06-19680.3275709738769
07-19680.33908356367678
08-19680.30557520768036
09-19680.30589122181873
10-19680.28395456837447
11-19680.27153504206486
12-19680.29644995889035
01-19690.3111086587625
02-19690.31714612812968
03-19690.40066042122317
04-19690.54533424565558
05-19690.52913770036932
06-19690.46421194720065
07-19690.54710621696448
08-19690.46143480312275
09-19690.45287342850622
10-19690.43021482114947
11-19690.37993501648338
12-19690.36603347064682
01-19700.43087499862643
02-19700.32949810728249
03-19700.32853670340597
04-19700.27447176951017
05-19700.25639543341146
06-19700.25492115827568
07-19700.21337200289724
08-19700.2021499639725
09-19700.19998238108498
10-19700.18925072683965
11-19700.17024234525448
12-19700.13784387011509
01-19710.12335926778165
02-19710.13435542334717
03-19710.15214805442699
04-19710.15615926918558
05-19710.16552438447081
06-19710.17812956622162
07-19710.19963581227695
08-19710.22490460398437
09-19710.21297332517457
10-19710.19968035326427
11-19710.14795200356456
12-19710.11832350812369
01-19720.10762209097346
02-19720.1290251072012
03-19720.1407420266223
04-19720.14747815131137
05-19720.1578861832361
06-19720.16271163481398
07-19720.1723850148393
08-19720.16232322673481
09-19720.17409396970113
10-19720.1843115779155
11-19720.19684329178911
12-19720.23206969020396
01-19730.26760426577007
02-19730.30440319016221
03-19730.31087641845696
04-19730.36037444635673
05-19730.42310921276628
06-19730.63307854754044
07-19730.59167554485873
08-19730.70193139164514
09-19730.64994256034354
10-19730.66772104764433
11-19730.65216666914029
12-19730.55368431991206
01-19740.47057702832684
02-19740.47741800797108
03-19740.57217371528372
04-19740.66966566906889
05-19740.77627211969146
06-19740.87030398039032
07-19740.67156309333498
08-19740.58312012318998
09-19740.45767585831641
10-19740.42313567126472
11-19740.36278657225714
12-19740.24700992140337
01-19750.19939251925101
02-19750.15366426696512
03-19750.13886192595739
04-19750.13347377680024
05-19750.15037777022167
06-19750.16679977864365
07-19750.1582096802063
08-19750.16123281049252
09-19750.15313123634535
10-19750.13369250263174
11-19750.13411572204324
12-19750.12856124182623
01-19760.12423365004761
02-19760.12776299752439
03-19760.13076584977128
04-19760.13958531077833
05-19760.14766704544448
06-19760.14203805262858
07-19760.14281181847224
08-19760.14601750733822
09-19760.14183592901955
10-19760.14228499566934
11-19760.14166040798359
12-19760.13125160423853
01-19770.12963375264448
02-19770.12842745208642
03-19770.13189414058556
04-19770.15381190425617
05-19770.16128919992713
06-19770.16097384119186
07-19770.18116877992393
08-19770.1962289426575
09-19770.2059662014858
10-19770.20532706037691
11-19770.20293309103654
12-19770.19831182916534
01-19780.19937204973594
02-19780.19945045481951
03-19780.19980369597147
04-19780.21493690970265
05-19780.22239790606555
06-19780.22491655565262
07-19780.24965429202942
08-19780.27434744790262
09-19780.29298950663414
10-19780.33603612708547
11-19780.33951299259215
12-19780.33523926883257
01-19790.33453362099637
02-19790.33508905901002
03-19790.32497572169258
04-19790.33551805845871
05-19790.36750383077792
06-19790.37800120561643
07-19790.40858068867617
08-19790.4189552024742
09-19790.51281611575418
10-19790.42868769247014
11-19790.50324350635651
12-19790.46285365045619
01-19800.3563459139943
02-19800.5231995524579
03-19800.71929643532432
04-19800.31764174155676
05-19800.25584288212423
06-19800.21473653676589
07-19800.20822922634606
08-19800.24393575256629
09-19800.32484979587808
10-19800.43857253207367
11-19800.64747398267962
12-19800.69898164461305
01-19810.40572389658665
02-19810.34422989752735
03-19810.36352484447124
04-19810.49189195496391
05-19810.5907081695589
06-19810.50959083927713
07-19810.39458737957329
08-19810.29233913570701
09-19810.26995082420333
10-19810.26922929414783
11-19810.22386282565688
12-19810.22589896986831
01-19820.28574504753107
02-19820.30590506048369
03-19820.3167582502803
04-19820.30696307805943
05-19820.26683586378964
06-19820.22427148122806
07-19820.17306870950238
08-19820.19582334534692
09-19820.21869014440683
10-19820.21089012908361
11-19820.20132947515174
12-19820.19358005018971
01-19830.17989687359152
02-19830.1954054304883
03-19830.20011025500866
04-19830.19420255752211
05-19830.19272424982728
06-19830.19105488315001
07-19830.18469461620159
08-19830.18636100988432
09-19830.1903236973449
10-19830.18178914883093
11-19830.18235858223981
12-19830.18943618373843
01-19840.18590872164006
02-19840.18380531960181
03-19840.18772050798794
04-19840.17120193524154
05-19840.18806775078906
06-19840.19785321536588
07-19840.23002267275164
08-19840.22429268945332
09-19840.19034523308833
10-19840.18783985763779
11-19840.15748165138025
12-19840.15911474331351
01-19850.16066529120438
02-19850.15579921410004
03-19850.15582928161236
04-19850.15938124324909
05-19850.16153897040851
06-19850.16936937493588
07-19850.16952733678143
08-19850.16917401814681
09-19850.17498329510844
10-19850.19095149547753
11-19850.22005314514502
12-19850.21681575501265
01-19860.22469613806474
02-19860.25237256596761
03-19860.25041662135381
04-19860.21800587980692
05-19860.21744453777707
06-19860.2225256796977
07-19860.20603202041089
08-19860.17871191249476
09-19860.17752866423582
10-19860.19487381951305
11-19860.25766373834765
12-19860.22685204896028
01-19870.19817924113471
02-19870.19985176472371
03-19870.18005145921078
04-19870.18053772175871
05-19870.18261282870084
06-19870.17442145497101
07-19870.17074442067184
08-19870.17011413810766
09-19870.16987173831582
10-19870.16620615477039
11-19870.16552149918838
12-19870.17768283064254
01-19880.18271381818057
02-19880.17709167648917
03-19880.1777082521194
04-19880.17487778450729
05-19880.19840035646874
06-19880.20390373703324
07-19880.20791105802639
08-19880.22860857166827
09-19880.24334438896532
10-19880.23792119029989
11-19880.25244348468416
12-19880.27420538551484
01-19890.28376900651212
02-19890.30187717870698
03-19890.31355640432602
04-19890.33564442677244
05-19890.36479447732388
06-19890.36559083718977
07-19890.33647170957363
08-19890.33187912894313
09-19890.33333311919099
10-19890.32247355428893
11-19890.31716350992277
12-19890.27373830819487
01-19900.25816317818547
02-19900.25361763980306
03-19900.24165800624569
04-19900.23881420105634
05-19900.26060881214756
06-19900.25276485431406
07-19900.23660093678297
08-19900.23341538028993
09-19900.23702955591446
10-19900.23742138428367
11-19900.22526452449752
12-19900.20338022844477
01-19910.1807557864217
02-19910.16605166858191
03-19910.15954824872055
04-19910.15352137897708
05-19910.15237362046634
06-19910.14965504287716
07-19910.1535912687905
08-19910.15232939044503
09-19910.14607698440506
10-19910.13363830406793
11-19910.12742409773761
12-19910.11480156678199
01-19920.11024720512812
02-19920.10480264993198
03-19920.098880969178165
04-19920.10253932127959
05-19920.10274229748276
06-19920.094377647494612
07-19920.099293618599714
08-19920.099451430713209
09-19920.09349827027774
10-19920.089772216049771
11-19920.086574400208478
12-19920.091160524627548
01-19930.096050855695215
02-19930.10181892301223
03-19930.098322667242931
04-19930.098493926223671
05-19930.10114960336249
06-19930.10455722652668
07-19930.10598258368091
08-19930.11555257077086
09-19930.11199820618475
10-19930.10482790522299
11-19930.10174192353267
12-19930.1053452359956
01-19940.10832974686915
02-19940.10223664708648
03-19940.1012893577643
04-19940.11144126214588
05-19940.12082668972434
06-19940.11721217260535
07-19940.12551982262116
08-19940.12983412816984
09-19940.12490629220943
10-19940.13815643375863
11-19940.14785482562305
12-19940.15182558768859
01-19950.17940578678667
02-19950.19386674631903
03-19950.20453824147253
04-19950.22607436613594
05-19950.25795913894946
06-19950.237734892162
07-19950.21624382763343
08-19950.2396256008164
09-19950.24848091544523
10-19950.2608588135366
11-19950.26223772629526
12-19950.26397711039874
01-19960.2224453309866
02-19960.20040954015103
03-19960.18285606477463
04-19960.17397680981852
05-19960.16880159750792
06-19960.17705019682281
07-19960.17709297714085
08-19960.17345900683012
09-19960.18308246851864
10-19960.20433557144793
11-19960.19749724738183
12-19960.18138137692612
01-19970.18532056898785
02-19970.18429190668162
03-19970.18206228634049
04-19970.18962048236127
05-19970.2044396015216
06-19970.21756763995161
07-19970.2140386597244
08-19970.2196189499914
09-19970.22864507767111
10-19970.24120944002135
11-19970.2450336591292
12-19970.27437296763338
01-19980.26668673981413
02-19980.25756689991963
03-19980.25483198411211
04-19980.25756689991963
05-19980.27834755814106
06-19980.28040517860619
07-19980.294303374606
08-19980.3610609298323
09-19980.34342793582156
10-19980.27242555363296
11-19980.27591433884266
12-19980.26234000150216
01-19990.24766806413381
02-19990.23215798253813
03-19990.23000583517038
04-19990.2039811967297
05-19990.18470538473437
06-19990.20657585329734
07-19990.20313055728569
08-19990.21507578296904
09-19990.20211453746666
10-19990.22261942898651
11-19990.19921634861823
12-19990.18909852829038
01-20000.21380914682882
02-20000.23915631118942
03-20000.27513049604281
04-20000.25855172377087
05-20000.31270497769761
06-20000.31912219392141
07-20000.34062876110309
08-20000.34667595049501
09-20000.35334528079007
10-20000.35601727867191
11-20000.41609920268294
12-20000.37031126754246
01-20010.31634540124056
02-20010.3221536944968
03-20010.23884394460341
04-20010.17527025240706
05-20010.16512791157908
06-20010.15453889029757
07-20010.15933050850497
08-20010.13385625575521
09-20010.10843168747043
10-20010.089715839541459
11-20010.074974558320661
12-20010.072918453767406
01-20020.074511901408631
02-20020.070740643509674
03-20020.071882830449675
04-20020.072338907275301
05-20020.074597494333263
06-20020.077115245418087
07-20020.082785936680735
08-20020.09019983550038
09-20020.088785698879702
10-20020.071183791074009
11-20020.068046171682674
12-20020.067845048796876
01-20030.070114246387821
02-20030.070800141160802
03-20030.069449859880247
04-20030.074304021766537
05-20030.076268559678649
06-20030.061220518033183
07-20030.058563255627845
08-20030.059160040700567
09-20030.05902996084332
10-20030.058691993583719
11-20030.05833470510859
12-20030.059684675473121
01-20040.060470841469171
02-20040.062112950221632
03-20040.05837877113327
04-20040.056296317554168
05-20040.056972081050741
06-20040.064463866615156
07-20040.071634556572663
08-20040.079832483028746
09-20040.086227780177058
10-20040.091709261694653
11-20040.10126472839719
12-20040.10744241377384
01-20050.12105395723084
02-20050.11742122665581
03-20050.13218046326891
04-20050.15618098552234
05-20050.16788576613617
06-20050.17485147665508
07-20050.19036468129048
08-20050.20660684031749
09-20050.20067159249748
10-20050.21477197742449
11-20050.23731611469797
12-20050.25700797597655
01-20060.26315379486871
02-20060.25796441810599
03-20060.25160980236838
04-20060.25504489821504
05-20060.26005202268631
06-20060.28868150889891
07-20060.3159473210463
08-20060.33891618723798
09-20060.33739376214393
10-20060.35818058474966
11-20060.36352484447124
12-20060.33289885976282
01-20070.34029276147001
02-20070.36655173121064
03-20070.34355761529025
04-20070.33438522314805
05-20070.28864882635279
06-20070.30167123034126
07-20070.31541396579886
08-20070.32654806442819
09-20070.30095084733469
10-20070.31969963246163
11-20070.29133737747391
12-20070.3025394644289
01-20080.18098196200419
02-20080.16234920241757
03-20080.12607148870681
04-20080.10119839521541
05-20080.096772921245298
06-20080.09939001397011
07-20080.10197343387947
08-20080.097294374761538
09-20080.061320407629922
10-20080.045280389658323
11-20080.04065708004246
12-20080.039971872094948
01-20090.041752523729511
02-20090.040419491841764
03-20090.039105479068144
04-20090.039471391945784
05-20090.039652411373462
06-20090.038454538514065
07-20090.03841539989115
08-20090.038368438689666
09-20090.037458621279782
10-20090.037447743934317
11-20090.037252525879356
12-20090.036840811504788
01-20100.037441081751402
02-20100.038241035746332
03-20100.039183898427589
04-20100.039863294361963
05-20100.039631443124402
06-20100.040000656142848
07-20100.041099268752987
08-20100.041237264947736
09-20100.041560006967689
10-20100.040940277213359
11-20100.039471391945784
12-20100.038996494786302
01-20110.038428373585326
02-20110.038049189931552
03-20110.03677915591785
04-20110.036725688832828
05-20110.036894132687894
06-20110.036195442169056
07-20110.038301793549174
08-20110.037981211248981
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