Bear Market Probability Index

Summary Model Data
Date Percentage
02-19590.14863771727772
03-19590.15380892775878
04-19590.1401003129357
05-19590.17487955189595
06-19590.17759578380492
07-19590.17811669660032
08-19590.1830473253046
09-19590.21332672677538
10-19590.21524364371249
11-19590.20159964806003
12-19590.19939314021953
01-19600.21576079839189
02-19600.22436645248437
03-19600.23002828587552
04-19600.21614142223971
05-19600.18177232901092
06-19600.19255104545415
07-19600.17599443606512
08-19600.14339339450061
09-19600.12967046272232
10-19600.1260017802541
11-19600.10190539417594
12-19600.077671981330341
01-19610.13984380528012
02-19610.10702363245882
03-19610.080216329086832
04-19610.10565577824269
05-19610.088752417662209
06-19610.066628677202574
07-19610.097812960439186
08-19610.093510764943196
09-19610.11516884338463
10-19610.13714845917067
11-19610.11455652168802
12-19610.10424086860638
01-19620.11754606656129
02-19620.15594954407123
03-19620.15555611898374
04-19620.12320413095973
05-19620.14374936009174
06-19620.14095005494068
07-19620.15950211349061
08-19620.15705690104822
09-19620.16006952231761
10-19620.164084132744
11-19620.16716136209637
12-19620.1683073651958
01-19630.16931165810795
02-19630.16688839123401
03-19630.1576488114545
04-19630.16863756491462
05-19630.16387357625077
06-19630.16450289829635
07-19630.21070970321642
08-19630.20250183760993
09-19630.20194251733476
10-19630.19911776354446
11-19630.18873717265109
12-19630.19505141890688
01-19640.19665671439492
02-19640.18658882040277
03-19640.18948191296356
04-19640.19457523457046
05-19640.19696721090889
06-19640.1879016624611
07-19640.19536568974751
08-19640.18990691479424
09-19640.18248332018314
10-19640.20055481621932
11-19640.23243275511484
12-19640.23702691800288
01-19650.24406123357376
02-19650.25111733091032
03-19650.25832269830213
04-19650.25835468799095
05-19650.25111733091032
06-19650.25832269830213
07-19650.25607016026916
08-19650.23891159828496
09-19650.24045009725493
10-19650.2325710987409
11-19650.23907132896419
12-19650.25069909798773
01-19660.24751081096275
02-19660.24872347642157
03-19660.26316929966894
04-19660.28591326745761
05-19660.31507218231865
06-19660.30360651688479
07-19660.30574958279468
08-19660.29581857115888
09-19660.33318199789802
10-19660.34126015554444
11-19660.3408835487524
12-19660.31737529684317
01-19670.318181983947
02-19670.27092015369815
03-19670.21496074863082
04-19670.1864268723455
05-19670.17912568234301
06-19670.158952287056
07-19670.16030685547318
08-19670.16503855924452
09-19670.15056062408299
10-19670.15375039743811
11-19670.1785400697844
12-19670.19397833767458
01-19680.20011832171104
02-19680.21384779819572
03-19680.28376891771586
04-19680.2949023135906
05-19680.30682404778215
06-19680.32730396125889
07-19680.33882810817959
08-19680.30528610075587
09-19680.30560243179081
10-19680.28364389217929
11-19680.27121214158271
12-19680.29615171713207
01-19690.31082510452127
02-19690.31686863884909
03-19690.40046582287345
04-19690.54527033655575
05-19690.52906017868145
06-19690.46407721360358
07-19690.54704378098363
08-19690.46129752999465
09-19690.45272828047205
10-19690.43004850417909
11-19690.37972018268133
12-19690.36580490620872
01-19700.43070930496721
02-19700.32923303075308
03-19700.3282706610571
04-19700.27415174417685
05-19700.25605791048472
06-19700.25458223278834
07-19700.21299612298711
08-19700.20176539638118
09-19700.19959622784248
10-19700.18885724882831
11-19700.16983863245034
12-19700.13743601374292
01-19710.12295886053154
02-19710.13394866162233
03-19710.15173930292447
04-19710.15575112762757
05-19710.16511883219158
06-19710.17772960266582
07-19710.19924940857018
08-19710.22453835072146
09-19710.21259712413261
10-19710.19929398169903
11-19710.14754298316954
12-19710.11792777969386
01-19720.10724110557885
02-19720.12862082953257
03-19720.14033354822941
04-19720.14706912603312
05-19720.15747840212469
06-19720.16230514756201
07-19720.17198224148741
08-19720.16191662046844
09-19720.17369198923099
10-19720.18391506414185
11-19720.19645490195252
12-19720.23170970354524
01-19730.26727753455702
02-19730.30411290821723
03-19730.31059263102815
04-19730.36014026151367
05-19730.42293616293289
06-19730.6330837719717
07-19730.59164911397676
08-19730.70198552940187
09-19730.64996019078986
10-19730.66775145552584
11-19730.65218591491635
12-19730.55362732471541
01-19740.4704480873144
02-19740.47729524895497
03-19740.57213177755566
04-19740.66969745593398
05-19740.77637405236862
06-19740.87045935969193
07-19740.67159622219261
08-19740.58308693679034
09-19740.45753513616981
10-19740.42296264658274
11-19740.36255478508445
12-19740.24666354921971
01-19750.19900594023148
02-19750.15325570735967
03-19750.13845382254164
04-19750.13306735554791
05-19750.14996885701452
06-19750.16639469117883
07-19750.15780197284887
08-19750.16082588364788
09-19750.15272260378848
10-19750.1332859944197
11-19750.1337090502507
12-19750.12815723080809
01-19760.12383255464467
02-19760.12735946547506
03-19760.1303606459092
04-19760.13917705080015
05-19760.14725802146947
06-19760.14162937491496
07-19760.14240304399656
08-19760.14560850125774
09-19760.1414272792951
10-19760.14187628529232
11-19760.14125178348529
12-19760.13084616238972
01-19770.12922913789859
02-19770.12802351956212
03-19770.1314883972977
04-19770.15340336589484
05-19770.16088228916552
06-19770.16056684118683
07-19770.18077046076577
08-19770.19584012373374
09-19770.20558450220645
10-19770.20494487416323
11-19770.20254910425086
12-19770.19792447661102
01-19780.19898545598588
02-19780.19906391750871
03-19780.19941741348655
04-19780.21456229840094
05-19780.22202950866036
06-19780.22455031267584
07-19780.24931039313915
08-19780.27402730064119
09-19780.29268781103508
10-19780.33577761485297
11-19780.33925796765024
12-19780.33497995696131
01-19790.33427360090493
02-19790.33482959638986
03-19790.32470610121146
04-19790.33525902636519
05-19790.36727672390994
06-19790.37778446877859
07-19790.40839373945385
08-19790.4187781964582
09-19790.51272460766461
10-19790.42851993218473
11-19790.50314367035375
12-19790.46271767569842
01-19800.35610771849393
02-19800.52311697336782
03-19800.71936219365164
04-19800.31736475032275
05-19800.25550483301739
06-19800.2143617623193
07-19800.20784927143621
08-19800.24358652689818
09-19800.32458004884725
10-19800.43841407754886
11-19800.64748981457377
12-19800.69903378022534
01-19810.40553419403582
02-19810.34397959845413
03-19810.36329379055928
04-19810.49178212458841
05-19810.59068097852115
06-19810.50949653556523
07-19810.39438688355749
08-19810.29203679175578
09-19810.26962637728915
10-19810.2689041440299
11-19810.22349567806927
12-19810.22553357439542
01-19820.28543614613631
02-19820.30561628433375
03-19820.31648037123036
04-19820.30667536309714
05-19820.2665083862696
06-19820.22390468391582
07-19820.17266624881353
08-19820.19543424473389
09-19820.21831862610014
10-19820.21051226406143
11-19820.2009443035134
12-19820.19318941509276
01-19830.17949785370836
02-19830.19501604097396
03-19830.1997241943966
04-19830.19381234419057
05-19830.19233304009658
06-19830.19066257022285
07-19830.18429832940752
08-19830.18596572744366
09-19830.18993090876997
10-19830.1813911778237
11-19830.18196093440989
12-19830.18904282415678
01-19840.18551316391724
02-19840.18340850810021
03-19840.18732606476429
04-19840.17079863548251
05-19840.18767352470451
06-19840.19746553714087
07-19840.22966087609096
08-19840.2239259103386
09-19840.18995245845581
10-19840.1874454889198
11-19840.15707378077755
12-19840.15870725250268
01-19850.16025820554298
02-19850.15539100459024
03-19850.15542107768043
04-19850.15897381903167
05-19850.16113213153837
06-19850.16896529745744
07-19850.16912332449704
08-19850.16876986052924
09-19850.17458174200253
10-19850.19055911501206
11-19850.21968276683395
12-19850.21644268337617
01-19860.22432970548151
02-19860.25203122637523
03-19860.25007343852967
04-19860.21763379248206
05-19860.21707198532824
06-19860.22215739093715
07-19860.20565037142166
08-19860.17831225596546
09-19860.1771283879861
10-19860.19448406448899
11-19860.25732742544066
12-19860.2264874793973
01-19870.19779179426668
02-19870.19946551698438
03-19870.17965252354254
04-19870.18013905271822
05-19870.18221532627067
06-19870.17401963071682
07-19870.17034092240563
08-19870.16971037107905
09-19870.16946786939096
10-19870.16580084787505
11-19870.16511594588588
12-19870.17728263421529
01-19880.18231637369264
02-19880.17669117549991
03-19880.1773080688813
04-19880.1744761801803
05-19880.19801306695876
06-19880.20352047579934
07-19880.20753085599438
08-19880.22824553357473
09-19880.24299461721252
10-19880.23756645630177
11-19880.25210221208192
12-19880.27388509894855
01-19890.28345814653544
02-19890.30158436586064
03-19890.31327530838594
04-19890.33538552148974
05-19890.36456468376629
06-19890.36536183373961
07-19890.33621363438543
08-19890.33161644384112
09-19890.33307189399782
10-19890.32220141911539
11-19890.31688603810901
12-19890.27341756378773
01-19900.25782734260824
02-19900.25327747787948
03-19900.2413066824571
04-19900.2384602782653
05-19900.26027532055857
06-19900.25242388541507
07-19900.23624500796192
08-19900.23305659154771
09-19900.23667401439631
10-19900.23706619732674
11-19900.22489858125506
12-19900.20299657511841
01-19910.180357237794
02-19910.16564630545894
03-19910.15914086688395
04-19910.15311279923842
05-19910.15196489444377
06-19910.14924608361347
07-19910.15318269884682
08-19910.15192065934077
09-19910.14566797651654
10-19910.13323181724954
11-19910.12702077684344
12-19910.11440990648532
01-19920.10986191405657
02-19920.10442686325237
03-19920.098518295688078
04-19920.10216817571573
05-19920.10237071776928
06-19920.094027255991477
07-19920.098929925713499
08-19920.09908735241003
09-19920.093150541651632
10-19920.089436837077627
11-19920.086251131201168
12-19920.090820334733736
01-19930.095695643974973
02-19930.10144934779943
03-19930.097961400027275
04-19930.098132224294307
05-19930.10078152911563
06-19930.10418192228961
07-19930.10560454560533
08-19930.11515998365736
09-19930.11161030861122
10-19930.1044520691778
11-19930.1013725189175
12-19930.10496840014829
01-19940.10794755192838
02-19940.10186615566878
03-19940.10092096672953
04-19940.11105417150348
05-19940.12042847800033
06-19940.11681765273238
07-19940.12511777725157
08-19940.1294294055939
09-19940.12450469088194
10-19940.13774849817539
11-19940.14744580378974
12-19940.15141680165127
01-19950.17900650113759
02-19950.19347630507445
03-19950.20415545786206
04-19950.22570912238405
05-19950.25762310830907
06-19950.2373799892377
07-19950.21587028544428
08-19950.23927241717307
09-19950.24813591702694
10-19950.26052556216092
11-19950.26190580178206
12-19950.26364686415191
01-19960.22207697389807
02-19960.20002369679104
03-19960.18245870208052
04-19960.17357477379118
05-19960.16839728862136
06-19960.17664967461812
07-19960.17669247681716
08-19960.17305672735892
09-19960.1826852364438
10-19960.20395263499384
11-19960.19710931745781
12-19960.18098317661188
01-19970.18492465626605
02-19970.18389538129104
03-19970.18166446992174
04-19970.18922724077574
05-19970.20405674348867
06-19970.21719518937407
07-19970.21366331868284
08-19970.21924820758893
09-19970.22828207153183
10-19970.24085770473301
11-19970.24468544976094
12-19970.27405284539887
01-19980.26635911755874
02-19980.25723049451571
03-19980.2544929739284
04-19980.25723049451571
05-19980.2780313427987
06-19980.28009099246903
07-19980.29400298957
08-19980.36082742765341
09-19980.34317683373124
10-19980.27210352385624
11-19980.27559572962427
12-19980.2620081755322
01-19990.24732230594174
02-19990.23179807428384
03-19990.22964402368444
04-19990.20359799366338
05-19990.18430910434271
06-19990.20619462086345
07-19990.20274671759963
08-19990.2147012848597
09-19990.20172994369921
10-19990.22225121998509
11-19990.19882964291955
12-19990.18870495331931
01-20000.2134336200044
02-20000.23880269980624
03-20000.27481111705724
04-20000.25821625986131
05-20000.31242302654886
06-20000.31884669049615
07-20000.34037485462698
08-20000.34642809939528
09-20000.35310409318985
10-20000.35577875566366
11-20000.41591946824733
12-20000.37008694036666
01-20010.31606710734188
02-20010.32188123784949
03-20010.23849004887273
04-20010.17486883930645
05-20010.164722219903
06-20010.15413046303899
07-20010.15892307151153
08-20010.13344968352075
09-20010.10804932131912
10-20010.089380661429339
11-20010.074709964729718
12-20010.072667222696224
01-20020.074250225019648
02-20020.07050473856113
03-20020.071638731451031
04-20020.072091633185453
05-20020.074335274410548
06-20020.076837797770843
07-20020.082479069832065
08-20020.089862947123179
09-20020.088453898426251
10-20020.070944665282447
11-20020.067831040781176
12-20020.067631553720463
01-20030.06988298623611
02-20030.070563800665018
03-20030.069223646483533
04-20030.074043672781279
05-20030.075996072219305
06-20030.061068247741508
07-20030.058439947580624
08-20030.059029990982557
09-20030.058901368678037
10-20030.058567219373983
11-20030.058214016129097
12-20030.059548814011201
01-20040.060326469263468
02-20040.061951549073857
03-20040.058257575567328
04-20040.056199917951808
05-20040.056867441621419
06-20040.064279772293168
07-20040.071392208972238
08-20040.079540148712378
09-20040.085905915221922
10-20040.09136724032373
11-20040.10089639306047
12-20040.10706174140311
01-20050.12065553581416
02-20050.11702647428966
03-20050.13177459049363
04-20050.15577284814331
05-20050.16748109375491
06-20050.1744498595783
07-20050.18997191925238
08-20050.20622563167357
09-20050.20028593988109
10-20050.21439723181887
11-20050.23696083243683
12-20050.25667103705607
01-20060.26282275361739
02-20060.25762839251153
03-20060.25126774295887
04-20060.25470609028093
05-20060.2597179965023
06-20060.2883755237943
07-20060.31566862715369
08-20060.33866056391241
09-20060.33713661196127
10-20060.35794421672296
11-20060.36329379055928
12-20060.3326371985807
01-20070.34003851821751
02-20070.36632368065902
03-20070.34330664306378
04-20070.33412505410511
05-20070.28834280875443
06-20070.30137821125138
07-20070.31513473601117
08-20070.32628002399358
09-20070.30065710696084
10-20070.31942470937117
11-20070.29103403539168
12-20070.30224731492733
01-20080.18058353881598
02-20080.16194260403219
03-20080.12566905801399
04-20080.10083021016533
05-20080.09641572546697
06-20080.099026085371988
07-20080.10160351795023
08-20080.096935780982906
09-20080.06116710078493
10-20080.045345991390366
11-20080.040806122331886
12-20080.040133989348602
01-20090.041881028431655
02-20090.040573048147476
03-20090.039284371646683
04-20090.039643167078501
05-20090.039820682972435
06-20090.038646207601496
07-20090.038607841793228
08-20090.038561808549616
09-20090.037670113533987
10-20090.037659454483322
11-20090.037468160635988
12-20090.037064761838932
01-20100.037652926020858
02-20100.03843692683368
03-20100.03936126169571
04-20100.040027499217727
05-20100.039800119954281
06-20100.040162220687386
07-20100.041239965924868
08-20100.041375372930456
09-20100.041692087804194
10-20100.04108396645127
11-20100.039643167078501
12-20100.039177516303819
01-20110.038620559257036
02-20110.038248887759608
03-20110.03700435608388
04-20110.036951973789097
05-20110.037117003086778
06-20110.036432532369931
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